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Backslider
06-08-2009, 11:50 AM
I'm going to be playing in the World Series of Poker later this week. If anyone wants to know how I'm doing, I'm going to be giving updates for my friends/family:
http://twitter.com/BacksliderLV

As far as wagering goes.. I am pretty sure the odds you can find on the world series of poker main event are probably way in the house favor (like a lot of the futures type stuff). But, that said, I did make one bet .. on SIA I took Brian Townshend to win the main event at +100000 odds. He is +40000 now, so I guess I got a "good" price.

Event at +100000, that is 1,000:1. If there are around 7k entrants, he would have to be 7x more likely than an avg. player to win. The math of these bets isn't good. If you look at a favorite, like Phil Ivey, you only get 100:1 on him.. he would have to be 70x more likely than an avg. player to win.. and that just isn't possible.

They added final table wagers, and the prices there might be a little bit better.

They also have a bet for winning nationality. If anyone could find a breakdown on the % of each nationality that played in it last year, that could be valuable. It seems like Russians have been doing well lately, but I don't know what % of the field they will be. You can get 33:1, but if they are only 1/200th of the field or something, that would be bad.

eatdust11
06-26-2009, 02:34 PM
Slider,

35th place... nice work... very good finish!

Backslider
07-16-2009, 11:45 AM
Thanks.

And like I said... put all your money on Ivey to make the final table.

He is pretty amazing. I still think the odds were terrible, but he's in the final 9, so it would have been the right year to do it.

Backslider
06-11-2010, 03:29 PM
It's that time of year again. I'm going to try and take down a bracelet. I'll post updates at
http://twitter.com/BacksliderLV

And if you're interested in the true high-stakes degenerata of the wsop, check this out http://www.pokernews.com/news/2010/06/2010-world-series-of-poker-bets-bigger-than-bracelets-8420.htm . Tom Dwan could have something like a $14,000,000 swing during the World Series, depending on whether he wins a bracelet.

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