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Old 06-05-2009, 11:13 PM
Jizay Jizay is offline
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Default Strikeforce (Sat night on Showtime)

Some picks for the Strikeforce event on Showtime Saturday June 5th. My highest confidence pick is Andrei Arlovski over Bret Rodgers. Rodgers is a leftover from the Elite XC events that ran on CBS. He's fat and lacks skill and is a product of that pure hype machine that made people think Kimbo was a fighter. He has a puncher's chance maybe, but Arlovski is a huge step up in his level of competition and should knock him out.

All that said, Arlovski will be -400 or so. Here are twp other picks on fights closer to even odds, in order of decreasing confidence:

Joe Riggs over Phil Jabroni - eh - Baroni. Both are on the downsides of their careers, but Jabroni is probably more of a has been and never was. He looked awful the last few times he has faced any sort of real competition. Best odds I see right now are at Bet Ed at -125.

Robbie Lawler over Jake Shields. This is a classic striker (Lawler) vs. grappler (Shields) matchup. I have little doubt that either man can dominate in his domain, so the real question is who controls where the fight goes. I think it's Lawler. Shields is moving up in weight for this fight and will be at a strength disadvantage. Lawler has decent takedown defense and Shields probably won't be effective enough on his feet to set up his takedowns. Bet Ed also has Lawler at -125.

Last edited by Jizay; 06-05-2009 at 11:21 PM.
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Old 06-06-2009, 01:14 AM
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Todd73NJ Todd73NJ is offline
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Ill take all 3

Any picks for the other fights? Or are those the only 3?
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Old 06-07-2009, 12:23 AM
Jizay Jizay is offline
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Yikes - sorry guys, these picks are definitely slipping. Not surprised that Lawler didn't pull it off, but the Arlovski loss hurts.
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Old 06-07-2009, 12:32 PM
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Win some, lose some!
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